EB-05: Toregeto Reports 33% Wins, but a Separate Poll Has 8.9%

The headline gap in Toregeto’s lottery reporting reflects separate respondent groups, not a change in an individual buyer’s chances of securing ONE PIECE Heroines Edition vol.2.

Why does Toregeto report both 33% and 8.9% winning shares for EB-05?

Toregeto’s operator, トレカプロ株式会社, reports 33% success among 128 submissions at noon on October 31, 2026 . Its separate October 25–29 X polling recorded 8.9% across 707 votes . These describe different respondent groups, according to the company release and its syndicated copy; neither establishes every applicant’s probability of winning.

Quick Answer: Toregeto’s reported 33% winning share comes from submitted lottery results; its separate X polling reports 8.9% . The operator’s findings describe different respondent groups. Neither percentage is a universal purchase-lottery success rate, and the samples should not be merged into a single applicant total.

The comparison records what respondents reported, rather than measuring every application retailers received. The operator says it could not confirm retailers’ total applications or winning allocations. The X polling’s combined result also does not establish an identical rejection rate at each named retailer.

Keep the samples separate: adding submissions to votes would require evidence that respondents did not overlap. Likewise, the rounded percentages in the published findings should not be converted into exact winner counts. For buyers, these are reported outcomes, not personal odds.

What is ONE PIECE Heroines Edition vol.2 [EB-05], and when did it release?

ONE PIECE Heroines Edition vol.2 [EB-05] is an Extra Booster for the ONE PIECE Card Game, released in Japan on October 31, 2026, according to the official franchise announcement. That announcement sets the Japanese tax-inclusive retail price at ¥240 per pack. These are the Japanese product’s release and pricing details; they should not be treated as a worldwide launch schedule or a local retail price for other markets.

For box purchases, Yamashiroya’s lottery listing specifies a tax-inclusive price of ¥5,760 for a box containing 24 packs, with six cards in each pack. The pack price comes from the franchise announcement, while the box price and contents come from the retailer. Keep those purchase units distinct when comparing listings: a pack offer and a box offer describe different quantities. A listed retail price also does not establish that stock remains available to order.

For international buyers, the scope is Japan. These Japanese announcements do not establish overseas release dates, English-language availability or international shipping eligibility. Before ordering, check the seller’s stated product language, delivery destinations and purchase conditions. Use the Japanese pricing as context for the advertised product, and confirm any shipping charges or other costs separately before treating an overseas listing as directly comparable.

What do the EB-05 lottery surveys actually establish?

The EB-05 lottery surveys establish reported outcomes among respondents, not the chance that any customer would secure a purchase.

• Separate samples: The company counted 128 submitted reports and 707 X votes. Respondent overlap is unknown, so adding those totals does not establish 835 unique applicants .
• Limited arithmetic: Subtracting the reported 8.9% winning share from 100% gives approximately 91.1% unsuccessful votes in that poll. This calculation does not establish the rejection rate at each retailer .
• Different collection windows: The company’s submitted-results snapshot was taken at noon on October 31, 2026, while the X polls ran October 25–29. They should not be read as successive readings from an unchanged respondent group .

The findings remain company-reported figures, published in Toregeto’s announcement and its syndicated release. Exact winning counts, individual retailer X-poll breakdowns and respondent deduplication are not independently established. Rounded percentages should therefore not be converted into purportedly exact numbers of successful applicants.

Population-wide odds require a different denominator: all eligible applications for the relevant lottery, alongside its winning allocation. The company says it could not confirm retailers’ total applications or winning allocations. Without those figures, the responses describe participants’ reported experiences rather than a measurable probability for every applicant. For buyers, the practical distinction is straightforward: use the results as context for reported access, not as a forecast of a future application’s outcome.

Why did reported store-level success range from 10% to 86%?

The reasons for the differences are unresolved: Toregeto reported store-level success ranging from 10% to 86%, but its chart included stores with as few as three respondents . Such small samples can produce unstable percentages because each additional reported outcome can substantially change a store’s result. The range therefore describes the submitted responses, rather than establishing comparable odds across retailers.

According to the survey operator’s release, Namco Parks stores ranked highest in its results, and their official-shop purchase lotteries limited applicants to one entry at one store per person . That restriction is relevant context for how applications were accepted. It does not, by itself, demonstrate that limiting entries caused the higher reported success.

The survey operator also acknowledged that it could not confirm retailers’ total applications or winning allocations. Those missing totals matter: a retailer’s allocation and applicant pool are necessary to assess its overall selection rate. A ranking drawn from voluntary outcome reports cannot resolve those differences or establish whether respondents represent the wider applicant pool.

For buyers, the useful distinction is between an application rule and a predicted outcome. Check eligibility and entry limits before applying, but do not treat this ranking as evidence that the same retailer will offer better odds in a future lottery. The reported ordering describes this survey’s results; it is not a basis for choosing where a future application is most likely to succeed.

Which EB-05 purchase deadlines still mattered on October 31?

Winner payment and purchase deadlines still mattered after application windows closed. Toregeto reported 24 lottery or reservation listings accepting applications at noon on October 31, 2026, with 13 known deadlines falling between October 31 and November 18 . That dated snapshot does not establish current stock or continued availability; buyers must distinguish new applications from purchases restricted to existing winners.

The retailer timelines below separate those stages. Neither closed application window should be treated as an opportunity for new entrants.

Rakuten Books explicitly declines to disclose winning counts or odds. These retailer pages document their own purchase arrangements; neither independently validates Toregeto’s survey percentages. A winner purchase period is an opportunity to complete an allocated order, not evidence that unsold boxes are available to other customers.

• Check the listing’s stage: confirm whether it accepts new applications or only purchases by notified winners.
• Check eligibility and fulfillment: read the retailer’s account requirements, payment instructions and delivery or collection terms before proceeding.
• Verify the deadline directly: use the retailer’s own page and winner notification, preserving any listed cutoff time rather than assuming the deadline means the end of the day.

For an unsuccessful applicant, the practical next step is to find a listing explicitly accepting entries. For a notified winner, completing the required purchase steps before the stated cutoff takes priority.

How do EB-05 official-shop release events differ from purchase lotteries?

Official-shop release events for ONE PIECE Heroines Edition vol.2 are participation opportunities, separate from the product-purchase lotteries covered by Toregeto. The franchise’s September 25 announcement schedules the events for October 31–November 15, 2026 . An event application or participation result should not be treated as confirmation that a customer has secured a box.

The event application window ran September 25–October 4, with results scheduled for October 9, according to the official franchise announcement . That application window therefore closed before the release events began. The event period is not an ongoing application period: seeing an event on the calendar does not establish that registration remains available.

Toregeto’s lottery-outcome report concerns product purchasing. Its reported winning shares do not describe admission to these release events. Keep event notifications and retailer purchase notifications separate, and check what each confirmation actually authorizes before making plans.

Use the official announcement for participating-shop details and event conditions. Check the applicable instructions for entry requirements, any fees, the play format and availability; the event schedule alone does not establish those details. For readers planning both to play and to buy, the practical takeaway is straightforward: confirm event participation through the event instructions, and confirm any box purchase through the retailer’s separate purchase process.

Frequently asked questions

Is the EB-05 lottery winning rate 33% or 8.9%?

Both are company-reported results from different samples. Toregeto reported a 33% winning share among 128 submitted reports and an 8.9% winning share across 707 separate X poll votes . Neither figure establishes the probability of winning for all applicants. See the Toregeto announcement.

Did each of the three retailers reject 91.1% of applicants?

No. Approximately 91.1% is the calculated complement of the reported 8.9% winning share across X polling concerning TSUTAYA, Hobby Station and Yamada Denki; it is not a verified rejection rate for each retailer . The syndicated company announcement describes reported polling outcomes, not complete retailer application records.

When did EB-05 release in Japan, and how much does it cost?

ONE PIECE Heroines Edition vol.2 [EB-05] released in Japan on October 31, 2026, with an announced tax-inclusive price of ¥240 per pack, according to the official ONE PIECE announcement . Yamashiroya’s lottery listing priced a box at ¥5,760 including tax, containing 24 packs with six cards per pack .

Were Yamashiroya and Rakuten Books still accepting lottery applications on October 31?

No. Yamashiroya’s application window ran October 20–22, 2026; its winner payment deadline was November 2 at 13:00, according to its lottery listing . Rakuten Books accepted applications October 14–18, 2026, and listed an October 29–November 3 winners-only purchase period . Those purchase deadlines did not reopen lottery entry.

Are official-shop EB-05 release events the same as purchase lotteries?

No. Official-shop release events are separate from retail product-purchase lotteries. The official announcement schedules events for October 31–November 15, 2026, with applications September 25–October 4 and results October 9 . Event participation and product purchases follow their respective application and purchase instructions.

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Sources: operator · syndicated copy · official announcement · Yamashiroya · Rakuten Books